About this Market

This market explores the potential arrest of Benjamin Netanyahu by the International Criminal Court (ICC) before December 1, 2026. The ICC is an international tribunal that investigates and, where warranted, tries individuals charged with the gravest crimes of concern to the international community: genocide, war crimes, crimes against humanity, and the crime of aggression. An arrest warrant issued by the ICC would signify a significant legal development with potential international ramifications. The outcome of this market depends on whether such an arrest occurs within the specified timeframe. Participants should consider the legal processes of the ICC, international political dynamics, and the practicalities of executing an international arrest warrant when making their predictions.